Север и рынок. 2022, № 2.

СЕВЕР И РЫНОК: формирование экономического порядка. 2022. № 2. С. 69-81. Sever i rynok: formirovanie ekonomicheskogo poryadka [The North and the Market: Forming the Economic Order], 2022, no. 2, pp. 69-81. СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОЕ УПРАВЛЕНИЕ РЕГИОНАМИ ИАРКТИЧЕСКАЯ ПОЛИТИКА - three of the four regions have a stable growth of GRP after the 2008-2009 crisis (Nenets Autonomous District — 4,9 % per year, Murmansk Region — 1,9 % per year, and Yamal-Nenets Autonomous District — 4,2 %). In Chukotka Autonomous District, the fall of GRP resumed in 2016, although the overall growth has amounted to 2,6 % per year since 2013. To assess the synchronization of temporary GRP changes, the number of employees and investments in fixed assets, a correlation and regression analysis has been carried out. As a result of the correlation and regression analysis of indicators of Russian Polar regions conducted by the authors, the following has been identified: - there is a positive relation of GRP and the number of employees in Nenets (Pearson's correlation r = 0,94 and the 95 % confidence interval ri = [0,84, 0,98], Spearman's correlation s = 0,66 and 95 % confidence interval si = (0,17, 0,93) ) and Yamal-Nenets (r = 0,96, ri = (0,89, 0,98), s = 0,96, si = (0,84, 1,00)] Autonomous Districts, while these indicators are not related in Murmansk Region (r = -0,11, ri = (0,54, 0,36), s = 0,05, si = (-0,56, 0,49)) and Chukotka Autonomous District (r = -0,05, ri = (-0,49, 0,41), s = -0,15, si = (-0,61, 0,32)); - two regions have no association between the volumes of GRP and fixed investment (for Murmansk Region, r = 0,30, ri = (-0,18, 0,66), s = 0,45, si = (0,06, 0,80); for Chukotka Autonomous District, r = 0,41, ri = (0,05, 0,73), s = 0,22, si = (-0,31, 0,67)). Nenets Autonomous District features a weak association between these indicators (r = 0,65, ri = (0,28, 0,85), s = 0,64, si = (0,13, 0,87)); - there is a negative relationship between investment in fixed capital and the number of employees in the Murmansk region (r = -0,82, ri = (-0,93, -0,59), s = -0,76, si = (-0,92, -0,34)), i. e. employment is declining against the background of investment growth, which is 9,5 % per year; - there is a positive relation between investments and the number of employees in Yamal-Nenets (r = 0,87, ri = (0,69, 0,95), s = 0,92, si = (0,73, 0,98)) and Nenets (r = 0,70, ri = (0,36, 0,87), s = 0,74, si = (0,34, 0,91)) Autonomous Districts. Chukotka Autonomous District has no association between these indicators (r = 0,11, ri = (-0,36, 0,54), s = 0,12, si = (-0,30, 0,53)) due to sharp fluctuations of the investment volumes. Notably, the behavior of indicators for Russia in general confirms correspondence of the processes to classical models characterizing production [32, 33]. The lack of relationship between GRP and the number of employed in the Murmansk Oblast and the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, the weak relationship between GRP and investment, the lack of relationship between the number of employed and investment indicate the imbalance of economic processes in these regions. Note that the reasons for the absence or presence of these links is a separate subject of labor-intensive research. The authors are already working on this task. One of the preliminary hypotheses explaining the weak relationship between investment and GRP in the Murmansk Region and the Chukotka Autonomous District is the deterioration of the regional mineral resource base, which determines the direction of investment to make up for deteriorating conditions of extraction and/or quality of raw materials, rather than to create surplus product. This may also be the reason for the lack of connection between GRP and the number of employed in the Murmansk Oblast, Chukotka Autonomous Okrug due to the fact that the increase in production factors is aimed at maintaining the current level of extraction rather than at creating surplus product, while increasing labour productivity reduces the contribution of such an indicator as the average annual number of employed in the region. Also, the lack of correlation between the number of employed and GRP in the Murmansk Region and the Chukotka Autonomous District may be a consequence of increased dependence of regional production on external conditions. However, all these hypotheses require additional testing. Tendencies in the national Arctic policy that determine the socio-economic transformations o f Russia's Polar regions As a result of the research, two interpenetrating tendencies of the national Arctic policy, which determine the socio-economic transformations of Russia's Polar regions have been revealed. The first tendency — the expansion of ideas which have a direct impact on the social and economic processes and policy. For example, Arctic transformation policy discussed by the authors indicates increasingly more extensive permeation of the shared human values into formal documents of the international participants of processes in the Arctic. So, alongside the already commonplace highlights of environmental protection and sustainable development priorities, they form documents concerning indigenous peoples living in the Arctic: recording their clearly stipulated rights to choice, health, and well-being. Notably, in the research of L. Heininen, using the Inuit Arctic Policy case, the author points out not only the indigenous peoples' higher self-awareness but also clear knowledge of what they want [11]. The authors of this study would like to add that these people know exactly how to disperse their ideas into the information space, science, and then into formal documents of Arctic policy, too. This is the ultimate expression of the ideas expansion phenomenon! Here is one more example: the rhetoric of sustainable development priorities for the Arctic pronounced by scientists and echoed by politicians has made its way into regulatory and legal documents and outlined © Скуфьина Т. П., Баранов С. В., Самарина В. П., Самарин А. 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