Север и рынок. 2022, № 2.

СЕВЕР И РЫНОК: формирование экономического порядка. 2022. № 2. С. 69-81. Sever i rynok: formirovanie ekonomicheskogo poryadka [The North and the Market: Forming the Economic Order], 2022, no. 2, pp. 69-81. СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОЕ УПРАВЛЕНИЕ РЕГИОНАМИ ИАРКТИЧЕСКАЯ ПОЛИТИКА The general methodological approach to the research of the national Arctic policy impact on the socio-economic transformations of the Polar regions includes three main components. First, a critical analysis of program documents related to the development of the Arctic, from the standpoint of their impact on the socio-economic transformations of the Polar regions. In total, more than 200 documents which can be divided into four main categories have been analyzed. The research of documents published in various languages, from the 1930s to the present time, was based on the continuous sampling linguistic method, as well as on the introspective one, which made it possible to find the connection between socio-economic dynamics of the Russian Arctic, policy implemented in a certain time period, and scientific views, and clearly argue their conclusions as well. The main method of scientific argumentation was the logical comparison method, which made it possible to compare the conceptual foundations and key priorities of the Arctic policy formulated in the legal documents of different eras and countries. Category 1. The analysis included regulatory and legal documents of the period of the USSR and the modern Russian Federation concerning management of the Russian North, aspects of social protection among them (Resolution of the Council of People's Commissars of the RSFSR dated 26/10/1932 "On establishing the District subject to the effect of the Resolution of the All-Russian Central Executive Committee and the CPC of the RSFSR dated May 10, 1932 concerning the benefits for persons who work in the Extreme North"; Decree of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet (SS) of the USSR dated 01/08/1945 "On benefits for persons who work in the Districts of the Extreme North"; Decree of the Presidium of the SS of the USSR dated 10/02/1960 "On organizing the benefits for persons who work in the Districts of the Extreme North and equated localities" etc.). Category 2. Regulatory and legal framework for the development of the modern Arctic; including documents related to the formation and development of the Russian Federation's Arctic zone — a new object of management of the Arctic territories (Fundamentals of the state policy of the Russian Federation in the Arctic for the period of up to 2020 and beyond; Resolution of the RF Government "On approval of the state program of the Russian Federation «Social and economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation»"; Decree of the President of the RF "On land territories of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation"; Decree of the Russian Federation's President of March 5, 2020 No. 164 "On the Fundamentals of the State Policy of the Russian Federation in the Arctic for the Period up to 2035"; Strategy for the Development of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation and Ensuring National Security for the Period until 2020; Federal Law of July 13, 2020 N 193-FZ "Concerning state support for entrepreneurial activity in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation" etc. This powerful regulatory layer of documents corresponds to modern macroeconomic conditions, strategic priorities for the development of Russia and the Arctic, the interests of economic entities and the Arctic territories' population, taking into account the objective possibilities of rational environmental management. Category 3. The conceptual bases and key priorities of Arctic policy of other circumpolar countries were analyzed (Sweden's strategy for the Arctic region; Finland's Strategy for the Arctic Region Denmark, Greenland and the Faroe Islands: Kingdom of Denmark Strategy for the Arctic 2011-2020; A Parliamentary Resolution on Iceland's Arctic Policy; Norway's Arctic Strategy — between geopolitics and social development, The 2019 Department of Defense Arctic Strategy etc.). Category 4. Institutional terms and conditions of the international cooperation were analyzed (Declaration on the Protection of the Arctic Environment, 1991; Declaration on Environment and Development in the Arctic, 1993; Declaration on the establishment of the Arctic Council, 1996; Declaration of Ministers of the Arctic Council Member States, 2011; Declaration of Ministers of the Arctic Council Member States, 2015; Arctic Council Fairbanks Declaration recognizes science and education cooperation, 2017 etc.). The authors then correlated the texts of the before mentioned documents with real-life social and economic processes studied within the framework of the second component of the methodological approach. Secondly, a statistical analysis of data characterizing socio-economic transformations of the Polar regions. The dynamics of the average annual resident population of the Russian Federation's Polar regions has been studied; the research involved data for the period from 1929 to 2019. To identify the dependencies between the indicators characterizing the socio-economic transformations of Russia's Polar regions, a time series analysis has been carried out and the Pearson correlation coefficient has been calculated. The synchronization of GRP changes, the number of employees and investments in fixed assets has been assessed. The dependences between the key GRP production factors are considered using correlation and regression analysis. To identify the features of the Polar regions, the same research methods have been applied to data characterizing the socio-economic transformations of the Russian Federation as a whole. The research involved indicators for the period from 2000 to 2018. Let it be noted that in the authors' previous research they substantiate indicators characterizing the economic processes most clearly and interpretable in modeling well: the physical volume of GRP index in % to that of the previous © Скуфьина Т. П., Баранов С. В., Самарина В. П., Самарин А. В., 2022 72