Север и рынок. 2021, № 1.

В заключение отмечается, что основным механизмом реализации энергетической стратегии является государственно-частное партнерство, совершенствование которого и поиск новых механизмов — необходимое условие дальнейшего развития ТЭК. Ключевые слова: северные регионы, топливно-энергетический комплекс, инвестиции, методологический подход, анализ, тенденции, прогнозные расчеты, государственно-частное партнерство. Gregory S. Kovrov PhD (Economics), Leading Researcher Research Institute of Regional Economics of the North of the No rth-Eastern Federal University named after M . K . Ammosov, Yakutsk Ivan A. Babkin PhD (Economics), Associate Professor H igher School of Engineering and Economics, Peter the G rea t St. Petersbu rg Polytechnic University, Saint Petersburg Nikolay E. Yegorov PhD (Physical and Mathematical), Leading Researcher Research Institute of Regional Economics of the North of the North-Eastern Federal University named after M. K . Ammosov, Yakutsk PROSPECTS FOR INVESTMENT IN THE FUEL AND ENERGY COMPLEX OF YAKUTIA W ITH THE USE OF PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP MECHANISMS Abstract. The article is devoted to the study of the investment process in the northern regions of Russia on the example of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). The relevance of the research topic is due to the fact that the most important factor in the development of any economy, including the economy of the northern regions of Russia, is investment in fixed assets. The aimof the study is to forecast investments in the fuel and energy complex of the northern region for the long term. The authors propose a methodological approach (algorithm) for predictive assessment of investments in the development of the fuel and energy complex of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). The analysis of investment activity in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for the period from 2005 to 2018 was carried out. It was noted that the republic has all prerequisites for maintaining leading positions in terms of investment in fixed assets among the regions of the Russian Federation. According to indicator “Investments in fixed assets per capita” the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) in 2018 ranked 5th among other regions of Russia. The fuel and energy complex occupies a significant share in the structure of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). The share of investments in the fuel and energy complex in the total volume of investments in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for the period from 2008 to 2018 shows an upward trend from 15.3 to 34.5 %. Forecast calculations of investments in fixed assets ofthe branches of the fuel and energy complex ofthe Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) have beenmade. Forecasted amount of investments required for the implementationof the Development Strategy of the Fuel and Energy Complex ofthe Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2020-2032 will be 1,734.6billion rubles in the moderate scenario and 2,317.9billion rubles in the strategic scenario. The largest share in the structure of investments in the fuel and energy complex until 2032 is occupiedby the oil and gas complex (59.3 %) and coal industry (15.5 %). In conclusion, it is noted that the main mechanism for implementing the energy strategy is public-private partnership. Its improvement and the search for new mechanisms are necessary conditions for the further development of the fuel and energy complex. Keywords: northern regions, fuel and energy complex, investments, methodological approach, analysis, trends, forecast calculations, public-private partnership. Введение Общеизвестно, что инвестиции в основной капитал являются важнейшим фактором развития экономики любой страны. Теоретические основы инвестиционной деятельности представлены в трудах как зарубежных [1-5 и др.], так и отечественных ученых [6-10 и др.]. Хорошо налаженная инвестиционная деятельность экономики имеет ключевое значение и во всем мире считается важнейшим признаком эффективности управления [11], в том числе и экономики северных регионов Российской Федерации [12]. Анализу проблем и перспектив развития инвестиций в экономику посвящены многие исследования, в том числе труды российских ученых [13, 14]. В этих условиях исследование проблем инвестирования, особенно в северных регионах, является вполне актуальной научной и практической задачей. Авторами поставлена задача: на примере северного региона изучить состояние и спрогнозировать развитие инвестиций в топливно-энергетический комплекс (ТЭК) Республики Саха 38